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Kent Jenkins's avatar

I feel informed!

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@economist's avatar

Very well written analysis of the meeting and the budget. I share your concerns about whether the different graphs represent the changes in assumptions. They did not share the actual budget sheets the graphs were produced from so we cannot check the work. When these graphs first appeared when Diana Rich was mayor, the sales tax and revenue assumptions were well under historical trends and expense increases were higher. The reserves plummeted and the result was declaration of a financial emergency. Now it is unclear what assumptions are being used for revenues or expenses. We don't know whether they are using the Barlow Hotel projections for TOT tax or something the city has developed independently. We don't know when the fees for building the hotel are budgeted, one might assume it will take longer than expected to start construction as they are still looking for financing. The Barlow assumptions for TOT tax and sales tax revenues were considered pretty rosy when they were shared several meetings ago. The danger here of course is that the council sees the rapidly rising reserves and doubles down on spending increases. I suspect the unions are eyeing those projections as well. It would be helpful for assumptions and data to be explicitly stated. I have a couple other comments...I will do another post for brevity.

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