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@economist's avatar

Look at the 5 year budget projection in the same document. Without the Barlow Hotel the city is projecting to be below policy reserve levels in FY27-28 and it will run out of reserves in FY29-30. Even with the hotel reserves are effectively depleted by FY 29-30.

Reserves are critical to ensuring sufficient cash to pay bills when expenses and revenues don't match during the year. Also, they are critical to help the city get through economic downturns or meet an unexpected expense. Once reserves get below a certain level expenditures may have to be delayed until revenues are realized or the city has to borrow money from the "bank". Once they are depleted the city is effectively bankrupt and the county takes over the city.

It is unclear that the council is aware and focused of the problem. The discussion about being out of a financial crisis was alarming. The council was discussing the actual document that shows bankruptcy in the immediate future. They should have been asking questions like what level of reserve is necessary to ensure sufficient cash flow to pay the bills during the year.

Rather than cancelling the financial emergency or accelerating spending of "excess" reserves, the council should be talking about establishing a "Financial Oversight Committee" that includes members of the community that understand finances and can consider new options to strengthen the city's financial future.

Historically, the solution has been to not spend money to fix the streets. The 5-year forecast includes $800,000 per year to fix streets. It is likely that is more than has been spent by the city (without grant money) in the entire last 10 years.

According to a recent MTD report the city's pavement condition index (PCI) of 50 is the worst in Sonoma County. A score of 49 is considered poor. Streets in this condition cost 5 to 10 times more to repair than is cost to maintain fair/good streets.

The 2025 Street study estimated that the city would have to spend minimally $1MM a year to just maintain the current overall pavement score. at $800,000 the PCI will continue to decline.

If the city council follows the pattern of previous councils, expect the $800,000 for street repairs to morph into a priority to fix potholes.

Tibby Elgato's avatar

Given budget problems why is the city obsessed with two way streets that are 1/unpopular; only 23% actually want two way streets, and 2/ against the recommendation of expensive consultants. This plan is wasting our money and will destroy the downtown at the behest of a developer (see the Sebastopol Times article reporting on a secret meeting with Chamber of Commerce, developer of a dying flooded outdoor mall including at least one council member) pushing for two way streets. Let's re-route all the northbound traffic from 112 through the Barlow to give it the small town Main Street feel instead!

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